Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:15:49 UTC, Polymarket traders price China (78.5%), No meeting by December 31 (14.0%), United States (2.9%). The market has $891K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:15:49 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
China	78.5%	78.5¢	21.5¢
No meeting by December 31	14.0%	14.0¢	86.0¢
United States	2.9%	2.9¢	97.1¢
Russia	0.7%	0.7¢	99.3¢
Other	0.6%	0.6¢	99.4¢
Turkey	0.3%	0.3¢	99.7¢
Gulf country	0.3%	0.3¢	99.7¢
Switzerland	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢
Australia	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢
Finland	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢
Other EU country	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢
South Korea	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢
Ukraine	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢
Belarus	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢
Japan	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢

Market details

Venue: Polymarket
Volume: $891K
Liquidity: $645K
Closes: Fri, 01 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Sources

Source: Polymarket market

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