Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:05:29 UTC, Kalshi traders price Democratic Party (71.0%), Republican Party (21.0%), Tie (9.0%). The market has $251K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Republican Party | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Tie | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $251K
- Liquidity: $251K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Democratic Party:
If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this Contract, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships (those without a scheduled election in 2026) plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate as determined under the resolution criteria of the ELECTION contract, including the accelerated provision.
Sources
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