Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 00:34:32 UTC, Polymarket traders price Bruno Donat (42.0%), Colombe Cahen-Salvador (41.8%), Rafael Grossi (29.5%). The market has $78K in volume and closes on Sat, 28 Feb 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Donat | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Colombe Cahen-Salvador | 41.8% | 41.8¢ | 58.2¢ |
| Rafael Grossi | 29.5% | 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ |
| Kristalina Georgieva | 18.8% | 18.8¢ | 81.3¢ |
| Rebeca Grynspan | 17.5% | 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ |
| Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés | 10.2% | 10.2¢ | 89.8¢ |
| Mia Mottley | 8.8% | 8.8¢ | 91.3¢ |
| Jacinda Ardern | 3.8% | 3.8¢ | 96.3¢ |
| Achim Steiner | 1.5% | 1.5¢ | 98.5¢ |
| Amina Mohammed | 1.5% | 1.5¢ | 98.6¢ |
| Michelle Bachelet | 0.8% | 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ |
| Alicia Bárcena | 0.6% | 0.6¢ | 99.4¢ |
| Vuk Jeremić | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| David Choquehuanca | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $78K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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