Who will be Knesset Speaker after the election?
As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 17:18:23 UTC, Kalshi traders price Amir Ohana (23.0%), Ofir Katz (18.0%), Orit Farkash Hacohen (14.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Thu, 17 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Ohana | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| Ofir Katz | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Orit Farkash Hacohen | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Matan Kahana | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Oded Forer | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Meirav Cohen | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Chili Tropper | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Gilad Kariv | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Boaz Bismuth | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Yair Lapid | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Yair Golan | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Gadi Eisenkot | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Naftali Bennett | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Ram Ben-Barak | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Amir Ohana:
If Amir Ohana wins the first election for Speaker of the Knesset after the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes. The first election for Speaker of the Knesset after the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election is the first vote in which the Knesset elected on Oct 27, 2026 elects a Speaker, including an interim or temporary Speaker or the re-election of the outgoing Speaker; a later replacement does not change the outcome. The outgoing Speaker continuing without such a vote, a Deputy Speaker, and a member presiding or acting as Speaker do not count. If that Knesset does not elect a Speaker before Oct 27, 2027, including because it is dissolved first, every market resolves to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Sources
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