Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:26:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price Netflix (98.0%), Microsoft (88.0%), Alphabet (79.0%). The market has $97K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Netflix98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Microsoft88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
Alphabet79.0%79.0¢21.0¢
Tesla35.0%35.0¢65.0¢
NVIDIA7.0%7.0¢93.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Netflix:

If Netflix announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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