Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 19:43:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price DeepSeek (27.0%), Gotion High-Tech (26.0%), Xiaomi (22.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| DeepSeek | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Gotion High-Tech | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Xiaomi | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Moonshot AI | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| WuXi Biologics | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| ByteDance | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for DeepSeek:
If the United States Department of Defense announces the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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