Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Proposition 141 (86.0%), Proposition 316 (86.0%), Proposition 319 (81.0%). The market has $36K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Proposition 14186.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Proposition 31686.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Proposition 31981.0%81.0¢19.0¢
Proposition 31775.0%75.0¢25.0¢
Proposition 14266.0%66.0¢34.0¢
Proposition 31861.0%61.0¢39.0¢
Proposition 14461.0%61.0¢39.0¢
Proposition 32052.0%52.0¢48.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Proposition 141:

If Proposition 141 passes in Arizona, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.