Which ballot measures will pass in Alaska?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Ballot Measure 3 (89.0%), Ballot Measure 2 (41.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Ballot Measure 389.0%89.0¢11.0¢
Ballot Measure 241.0%41.0¢59.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Ballot Measure 3:

If Ballot Measure 3 passes in Alaska, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.