Which artists will release a new song in 2026?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 11:48:18 UTC, Polymarket traders price JAY-Z (37.0%), Nicki Minaj (32.3%), Frank Ocean (8.5%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Sat, 02 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAY-Z | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Nicki Minaj | 32.3% | 32.3¢ | 67.7¢ |
| Frank Ocean | 8.5% | 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new song between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances, recordings of live performances, or leaks) by the resolution date. Live versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, or similar non-original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, will also not count. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the credits of the below-listed resolution sources (e.g., the song ‘girl, get up.’ counts as a new release for SZA as she is, equally to Doechii, labeled “Main Artist” in the Spotify credits to the song, regardless of feature indication in the title). For listed groups of artists, tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than the listed group name will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order…
Sources
Related markets
- Top Spotify Artist 2026
- Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
- Billboard #1 Artist 2026
- Top US Spotify Artist 2026
- Top Spotify Album 2026
- Highest grossing movie in 2026?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.