When will Trump officially rename AI?
As of Tue, 29 Sep 2026 20:15:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Oct 1, 2026 (97.0%), Before Nov 1, 2026 (97.0%). The market has $159K in volume and closes on Sun, 08 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $159K
- Liquidity: $159K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Oct 1, 2026:
If Donald Trump formally adopts or directs adoption of a replacement name for Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use through a personally signed presidential action after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration. The topic is the preexisting official designation Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use. Any replacement name qualifies. The action must adopt or direct adoption of the replacement for United States official use; an informal, honorary, or agency-only label does not qualify.
Sources
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