When will AP call the Mississippi Senate election?
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 13:07:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 4 (91.0%), Before Nov 5 (6.0%), Before Nov 6 (6.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 11 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 4 | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Before Nov 5 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Before Nov 6 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Before Nov 11 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Before Nov 14 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Before Dec 4 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Before Nov 21 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 4:
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Mississippi U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, or equivalent clear language indicating AP has determined the winner. The phrase "projected to win" alone is insufficient; it must be AP's clear election call. The call must appear on one of AP's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is its primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market resolves to Yes based on the call time. Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify.
Sources
Related markets
- Blue wave this year?
- Blue tsunami this year?
- Red wave this year?
- Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
- Texas Senate: margin of victory
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.