When will AP call the Florida Governor election?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:54:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Nov 5 (97.0%), Before 2AM Nov 4 (96.0%), Before 11PM Nov 3 (88.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 13 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 5 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Before 2AM Nov 4 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Before 11PM Nov 3 | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Before 9:30PM Nov 3 | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Before 8:30PM Nov 3 | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Nov 5:
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Florida Governor election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, or equivalent clear language indicating AP has determined the winner. The phrase "projected to win" alone is insufficient; it must be AP's clear election call. The call must appear on one of AP's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is its primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market resolves to Yes based on the call time. Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify.
Sources
Related markets
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Texas Governor-Senate combo
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.