When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
As of Thu, 15 Oct 2026 01:51:35 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2027 (26.0%), Before Dec 1, 2026 (4.0%), Before Nov 1, 2026 (2.0%). The market has $17K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $17K
- Liquidity: $17K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2027:
If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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