What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?

As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 11:35:57 UTC, Polymarket traders price Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times (65.5%), Border 20+ times (65.0%), Russia / Ukraine (64.5%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Wed, 21 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times65.5%65.5¢34.5¢
Border 20+ times65.0%65.0¢35.0¢
Russia / Ukraine64.5%64.5¢35.5¢
SI / Super Intelligence63.5%63.5¢36.5¢
Iran 5+ times59.5%59.5¢40.5¢
Crime / Criminal 12+ times59.0%59.0¢41.0¢
Ass59.0%59.0¢41.0¢
Star59.0%59.0¢41.0¢
Aluminum / Steel56.5%56.5¢43.5¢
Transgender 7+ times55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
America First / Gulf of America46.5%46.5¢53.5¢
Hormuz / Blockade45.5%45.5¢54.5¢
Hell 15+ times43.0%43.0¢57.0¢
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported38.0%38.0¢62.0¢
Gay31.5%31.5¢68.5¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Clemson, South Carolina on October 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-clemson-sc-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in South Carolina on October 21, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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