What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 05:04:07 UTC, Polymarket traders price Crime / Criminal 10+ times (82.5%), SI / Super Intelligence (79.5%), Russia / Ukraine (77.5%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Tue, 20 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crime / Criminal 10+ times | 82.5% | 82.5¢ | 17.5¢ |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 79.5% | 79.5¢ | 20.5¢ |
| Russia / Ukraine | 77.5% | 77.5¢ | 22.5¢ |
| Two Percent / 2% | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Island | 62.5% | 62.5¢ | 37.5¢ |
| Ass | 60.5% | 60.5¢ | 39.5¢ |
| Transgender 7+ times | 54.5% | 54.5¢ | 45.5¢ |
| Hell 15+ times | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Hormuz / Blockade | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| Job 18+ times | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| America First / Gulf of America | 50.5% | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ |
| Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | 44.5% | 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ |
| Veteran | 38.5% | 38.5¢ | 61.5¢ |
| Fort Bragg | 36.5% | 36.5¢ | 63.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $10K
- Liquidity: $25K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina on October 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-greenville-north-carolina-president-donald-j-trump-djtnc) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in North Carolina on October 20, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources
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