What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 03:02:22 UTC, Polymarket traders price France / Paris (89.5%), Russia / Ukraine (66.0%), SI / Super Intelligence (61.5%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| France / Paris | 89.5% | 89.5¢ | 10.5¢ |
| Russia / Ukraine | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 61.5% | 61.5¢ | 38.5¢ |
| Meat / Steak | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| Hormuz / Blockade | 57.5% | 57.5¢ | 42.5¢ |
| 53.5% | 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ | |
| Ass | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Transgender 7+ times | 50.5% | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ |
| Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times | 48.5% | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ |
| Hell 15+ times | 47.5% | 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ |
| Veteran | 47.5% | 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ |
| Tax 33+ times | 38.5% | 38.5¢ | 61.5¢ |
| Data Center | 38.5% | 38.5¢ | 61.5¢ |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 34.5% | 34.5¢ | 65.5¢ |
| Filibuster | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa on October 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-sioux-city-ia-president-donald-j-trump-djt) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Iowa on October 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources
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