What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:46:20 UTC, Polymarket traders price Good Day (94.0%), Good Question (88.0%), CapEx / Capital Expenditure (73.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Good Day | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Good Question | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| CapEx / Capital Expenditure | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Price 30+ times | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| President / Trump | 70.5% | 70.5¢ | 29.5¢ |
| Pressure / Stagflation | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas | 69.5% | 69.5¢ | 30.5¢ |
| Conflict / Middle East | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | 55.5% | 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ |
| Inflation 20+ times | 46.5% | 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Payroll | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Oversight | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| Soft / Softening | 27.5% | 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ |
| Pandemic / Recession | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources
Related markets
- Fed Decision in October?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.