What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 23:43:27 UTC, Kalshi traders price Cuba (5.0%), Canada (2.0%), Venezuela (2.0%). The market has $1.9M in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cuba | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Canada | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Venezuela | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Puerto Rico | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Colombia | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Guam | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Greenland | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| District of Columbia | 0.6% | 0.6¢ | 99.4¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.9M
- Liquidity: $1.9M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Cuba:
If the 51st state is any part of Cuba before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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