WA-03 House election: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez vote percent

As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 07:36:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 50% (91.0%), At least 52% (68.0%), At least 53% (65.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 50%91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
At least 52%68.0%68.0¢32.0¢
At least 53%65.0%65.0¢35.0¢
At least 48%56.0%56.0¢44.0¢
At least 46%55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
At least 62%48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
At least 56%48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
At least 60%46.0%46.0¢54.0¢
At least 54%41.0%41.0¢59.0¢
At least 58%39.0%39.0¢61.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 50%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Marie Gluesenkamp Perez in the 2026 WA-03 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Marie Gluesenkamp Perez ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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