Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:30:30 UTC, Polymarket traders price Person A (50.0%), Other (50.0%), Republican 0-5% (28.5%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Person A | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Other | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Republican 0-5% | 28.5% | 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ |
| Democrat Wins | 25.5% | 25.5¢ | 74.5¢ |
| Republican 5-10% | 21.5% | 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ |
| Republican 10-15% | 17.5% | 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ |
| Republican 15-20% | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| Republican 20-25% | 4.1% | 4.1¢ | 95.9¢ |
| Republican 30%+ | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Republican 25-30% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $15K
- Liquidity: $211K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
The 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.…
Sources
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