UT-04 House election: Mike Kennedy vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 52% (87.0%), At least 54% (80.0%), At least 56% (71.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| At least 68% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 52%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Kennedy in the 2026 UT-04 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mike Kennedy ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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