UT-03 House election: Michael Stoddard vote percent

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:03:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1% (84.0%), At least 2% (48.0%), At least 3% (25.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 1%84.0%84.0¢16.0¢
At least 2%48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
At least 3%25.0%25.0¢75.0¢
At least 4%16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
At least 5%10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
At least 6%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 7%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 1%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Stoddard in the 2026 UT-03 House election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Stoddard ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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