UT-02 House election: Carlton Bowen vote percent

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 18:57:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1% (77.0%), At least 2% (29.0%), At least 3% (10.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 1%77.0%77.0¢23.0¢
At least 2%29.0%29.0¢71.0¢
At least 3%10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
At least 4%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
At least 5%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
At least 6%3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
At least 7%3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 1%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Carlton Bowen in the 2026 UT-02 House election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Carlton Bowen ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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