Unemployment rate in September 2026?
As of Fri, 02 Oct 2026 07:47:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price Exactly 4.1% (40.0%), Exactly 4.2% (32.0%), Exactly 4.0% (16.0%). The market has $47K in volume and closes on Fri, 02 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 4.1% | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Exactly 4.2% | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Exactly 4.0% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Exactly 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Exactly 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Exactly 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Exactly 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Exactly 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Exactly 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Exactly 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Exactly 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Exactly 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Exactly 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Exactly 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Exactly 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $47K
- Liquidity: $47K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Exactly 4.1%:
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 4.1% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
Related markets
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average this year
- Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in September 2026?
- Port of New York and New Jersey container volume this year
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.