Jobs numbers in September 2026?
As of Fri, 02 Oct 2026 08:34:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above -25,000 (94.0%), Above 0 (88.0%), Above 10,000 (87.0%). The market has $379K in volume and closes on Fri, 02 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above -25,000 | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Above 0 | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 10,000 | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| Above 20,000 | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Above 30,000 | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Above 50,000 | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Above 40,000 | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| Above 60,000 | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Above 70,000 | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Above 80,000 | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| Above 90,000 | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Above 100,000 | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Above 125,000 | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $379K
- Liquidity: $379K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above -25,000:
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
Sources
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