Unemployment in September
As of Fri, 02 Oct 2026 08:56:41 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 3.7% (100.0%), Above 3.8% (99.0%), Above 3.9% (92.0%). The market has $528K in volume and closes on Fri, 02 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.7% | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Above 3.8% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 3.9% | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Above 4.0% | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Above 4.1% | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| Above 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 4.5% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 4.9% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 4.3% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 4.4% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 4.6% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 4.8% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 5.0% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 4.7% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $528K
- Liquidity: $528K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 3.7%:
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.7% in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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