TSA passenger screenings on Oct 11, 2026
As of Mon, 12 Oct 2026 10:44:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1,800,000 passengers (100.0%), At least 2,300,000 passengers (99.0%), At least 2,500,000 passengers (99.0%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Mon, 19 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1,800,000 passengers | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| At least 2,300,000 passengers | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| At least 2,500,000 passengers | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| At least 2,600,000 passengers | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| At least 1,900,000 passengers | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| At least 2,000,000 passengers | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| At least 2,100,000 passengers | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| At least 2,200,000 passengers | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| At least 2,400,000 passengers | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| At least 2,700,000 passengers | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 2,800,000 passengers | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| At least 2,900,000 passengers | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| At least 3,000,000 passengers | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| At least 3,100,000 passengers | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| At least 3,200,000 passengers | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $19K
- Liquidity: $19K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 1,800,000 passengers:
If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 1,800,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, regardless of when it is published. The exact count is used without rounding. Only the first published value is used; later corrections and revisions are ignored. If publication is delayed, resolution waits for the specified date’s data, subject to the contract’s expiration and contingency provisions.
Sources
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