Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3)

As of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 23:20:40 UTC, Kalshi traders price 140-159 (27.0%), 160-179 (24.0%), 120-139 (21.0%). The market has $141K in volume and closes on Sun, 04 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
140-15927.0%27.0¢73.0¢
160-17924.0%24.0¢76.0¢
120-13921.0%21.0¢79.0¢
180-19917.0%17.0¢83.0¢
100-1198.0%8.0¢92.0¢
200-2197.0%7.0¢93.0¢
220-2405.0%5.0¢95.0¢
>2404.0%4.0¢96.0¢
<801.0%1.0¢99.0¢
80-991.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 140-159:

If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Sep 27, 2026 to Oct 3, 2026 is between 140 and 159, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Sep 27, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 4, 2026. Payout criteria Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included if captured by Roll Call. "Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound. Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time.

Sources

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