Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 21, 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 23:07:53 UTC, Kalshi traders price 38.8% (34.0%), 38.7% (19.0%), 38.9% (14.0%). The market has $21K in volume and closes on Wed, 21 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38.8% | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| 38.7% | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| 38.9% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 38.6% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Below 38.6% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 39.1% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 39.0% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 39.2% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 39.2% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $21K
- Liquidity: $21K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 38.8%:
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Sources
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