Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026?
As of Fri, 02 Oct 2026 08:45:36 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below 38.5% (78.0%), 38.5% (19.0%), 39.1% (1.0%). The market has $221K in volume and closes on Fri, 02 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 38.5% | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| 38.5% | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| 39.1% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 38.7% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 38.8% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 38.9% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 39.0% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 38.6% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 39.1% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $221K
- Liquidity: $221K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below 38.5%:
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Sources
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