Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 19, 2026?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:55:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price 38.9% (95.0%), Above 39.1% (3.0%), 38.6% (2.0%). The market has $135K in volume and closes on Mon, 19 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38.9% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 39.1% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 38.6% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 39.1% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 38.8% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 38.5% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 39.0% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 38.7% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Below 38.5% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $135K
- Liquidity: $135K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 38.9%:
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Sources
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