Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 11, 2026?
As of Sat, 10 Oct 2026 22:53:55 UTC, Kalshi traders price 37.8% (61.0%), 37.7% (11.0%), Above 38.1% (9.0%). The market has $49K in volume and closes on Sun, 11 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37.8% | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| 37.7% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Above 38.1% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 37.6% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 37.9% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 38.0% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 38.1% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 37.5% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Below 37.5% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $49K
- Liquidity: $49K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 37.8%:
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 37.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Sources
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