Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 3, 2026?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 15:19:23 UTC, Kalshi traders price 39.1% (86.0%), Above 39.3% (9.0%), 39.2% (4.0%). The market has $183K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39.1% | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| Above 39.3% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 39.2% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 39.0% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Below 38.7% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 38.7% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 38.9% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 38.8% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 39.3% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $183K
- Liquidity: $183K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 39.1%:
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Sources
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