Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026?
As of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 23:35:50 UTC, Kalshi traders price 38.2 to 38.4 (72.0%), Below 38.2 (18.0%), 38.5 to 38.7 (8.0%). The market has $96K in volume and closes on Fri, 02 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38.2 to 38.4 | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| Below 38.2 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| 38.5 to 38.7 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 38.8 to 39.0 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 39.1 to 39.3 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 39.4 to 39.6 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 39.7 to 39.9 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 39.9 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $96K
- Liquidity: $96K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 38.2 to 38.4:
If the President's approval rating is between 38.2 and 38.4% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026.
Sources
Related markets
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.