Trump approval rating on October 23?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:02:06 UTC, Polymarket traders price 38.5–38.9 (40.5%), 39.0–39.4 (25.0%), 38.0–38.4 (18.5%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sat, 24 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38.5–38.9 | 40.5% | 40.5¢ | 59.5¢ |
| 39.0–39.4 | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 38.0–38.4 | 18.5% | 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ |
| 39.5+ | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 37.5–37.9 | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| <37.5 | 3.4% | 3.4¢ | 96.7¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 23, 2026. This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources. If the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used. The resol…
Sources
Related markets
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.