Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (November 2026)
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 15:02:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 5 (89.0%), At least 8 (63.0%), At least 9 (56.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Mon, 08 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 5 | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| At least 8 | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| At least 9 | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| At least 10 | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| At least 12 | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| At least 14 | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| At least 16 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| At least 20 | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| At least 25 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 5:
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 5 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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