SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

As of Fri, 07 Aug 2026 01:59:59 UTC, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 (87.0%), December 31, 2026 (22.5%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
June 30, 202787.0%87.0¢13.0¢
December 31, 202622.5%22.5¢77.5¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Sources

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