South Africa retail sales in August

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above -1.5% (75.0%), Above -1.0% (51.0%), Above -0.5% (32.0%). The market has $23K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above -1.5%75.0%75.0¢25.0¢
Above -1.0%51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
Above -0.5%32.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Above 0.0%18.0%18.0¢82.0¢
Above 1.5%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Above 1.0%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Above 0.5%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Above 2.0%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 2.5%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 3.0%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above -1.5%:

If the South Africa retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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