SC-01 House election: Margo Ellis vote percent

As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:06:14 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 3% (4.0%), At least 6% (4.0%), At least 2% (4.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 3%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 6%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 2%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 4%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 5%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 7%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 1%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 3%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Margo Ellis in the 2026 SC-01 House election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Margo Ellis ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.