Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 01:35:55 UTC, Polymarket traders price Allyson (60.5%), Cadu de Lula (38.0%), Álvaro Dias (0.1%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Mon, 05 Oct 2026.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 01:35:55 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Allyson	60.5%	60.5¢	39.5¢
Cadu de Lula	38.0%	38.0¢	62.0¢
Álvaro Dias	0.1%	0.1¢	100.0¢
Professor Roberio Paulino	0.1%	0.1¢	100.0¢
Carlos Jararaca	0.1%	0.1¢	100.0¢
Dário Barbosa	0.1%	0.1¢	100.0¢
Henrique Lyra	0.1%	0.1¢	100.0¢
Rodrigo Bolsonaro	0.1%	0.1¢	100.0¢
Arinalda do MLB	0.1%	0.1¢	100.0¢

Market details

Venue: Polymarket
Volume: $14K
Liquidity: $188K
Closes: Mon, 05 Oct 2026

Resolution rules

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Sources

Source: Polymarket market

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