Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
As of Thu, 24 Sep 2026 21:29:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price Hike 1-25bps (99.0%), Cut more than 25bps (1.0%), Maintain current rate (1.0%). The market has $87K in volume and closes on Mon, 28 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 1-25bps | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Maintain current rate | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $87K
- Liquidity: $87K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Hike 1-25bps:
If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at the September Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Sources
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