Bank of Canada decision this month?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:47:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Hike 25bps (61.0%), Maintains rate (34.0%), Cut 25bps (1.0%). The market has $343K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 25bps | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Maintains rate | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Cut 25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Cut >25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Hike >25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $343K
- Liquidity: $343K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Hike 25bps:
If the Bank of Canada takes the action of hike 25bps at its Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
Related markets
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Fed decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Recession this year?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.