Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:25:34 UTC, Polymarket traders price ↓ 7% (24.1%), ↑ 12% (14.0%), ↓ 5% (4.5%). The market has $40K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 7% | 24.1% | 24.1¢ | 75.9¢ |
| ↑ 12% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| ↓ 5% | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| ↑ 15% | 2.2% | 2.2¢ | 97.8¢ |
| ↑ 20% | 1.1% | 1.1¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $40K
- Liquidity: $114K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for ↓ 7%:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com is equal to or below 7% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the Republican Party's hourly odds value is above 7% ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for the Republican Party (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing before November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing the Republican Party from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for the Republican Party between market creation and November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, this marke…
Sources
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