Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:29:52 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (7.4%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7.4% | 7.4¢ | 92.6¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $17K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton (R)'s hourly odds value is higher than James Talarico (D)'s hourly odds value in the "Texas Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as Ken Paxton (R) being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Ken Paxton (R) or James Talarico (D) in the "Texas Senate Election 2026" listing before November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for both Ken Paxton (R) and James Talarico (D) between mark…
Sources
Related markets
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- California Governor Election Winner
- Next French Presidential Election
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.