Oscar Winner: Best Original Screenplay

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:05 UTC, Kalshi traders price Wild Horse Nine (55.0%), The Debut (17.0%), Digger (8.0%). The market has $37K in volume and closes on Fri, 31 Dec 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Wild Horse Nine55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
The Debut17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
Digger8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Obsession8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Club Kid5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Fjord4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Elsinore2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Fatherland2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Josephine2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Tie2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Forgotten Island2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
The Drama2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
The Black Ball2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
A Place in Hell2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Wild Horse Nine:

If Wild Horse Nine has won Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Sources

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