Oscar Winner: Best Actor

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:35:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price John Malkovich (39.0%), Andrew Scott (22.0%), Tom Cruise (16.0%). The market has $1.3M in volume and closes on Fri, 31 Dec 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
John Malkovich39.0%39.0¢61.0¢
Andrew Scott22.0%22.0¢78.0¢
Tom Cruise16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Matt Damon15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Timothée Chalamet5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Robert Pattinson3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Anthony Ippolito3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Ryan Gosling2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Adam Driver1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Charles Melton1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Ethan Hawke1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Hanns Zischler1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Jacob Tremblay1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Josh O'Connor1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Keanu Reeves1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for John Malkovich:

If John Malkovich has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99 Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Sources

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