Oscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:48:40 UTC, Kalshi traders price The Black Ball (45.0%), The Invite (25.0%), The Odyssey (20.0%). The market has $32K in volume and closes on Fri, 31 Dec 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Black Ball | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| The Invite | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| The Odyssey | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Project Hail Mary | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Saturn Return | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Toy Story 5 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Wildwood | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| All of a Sudden | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Dune: Part Three | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| The Social Reckoning | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| The Whisper Man | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Cry to Heaven | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Clarissa | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Ink | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $32K
- Liquidity: $32K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for The Black Ball:
If The Black Ball has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Sources
Related markets
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Oscar winner: Best Actress
- Oscar Winner: Best Director
- The Game Awards: Game of the Year
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