Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:14:11 UTC, Polymarket traders price Matt Damon (93.5%), John Malkovich (88.0%), Andrew Scott (86.5%). The market has $41K in volume and closes on Thu, 21 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Damon | 93.5% | 93.5¢ | 6.5¢ |
| John Malkovich | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Andrew Scott | 86.5% | 86.5¢ | 13.5¢ |
| Tom Cruise | 59.0% | 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ |
| Ryan Gosling | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| John Turturro | 43.5% | 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ |
| Robert Pattinson | 42.5% | 42.5¢ | 57.5¢ |
| Anthony Ippolito | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| Pedro Pascal | 19.1% | 19.1¢ | 80.9¢ |
| Jaafar Jackson | 16.5% | 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ |
| Sebastian Stan | 16.5% | 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ |
| Timothée Chalamet | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Adam Driver | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Josh O'Connor | 5.1% | 5.1¢ | 94.9¢ |
| Sam Rockwell | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $41K
- Liquidity: $73K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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