Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:44:27 UTC, Polymarket traders price The Odyssey (88.5%), The Black Ball (80.5%), Project Hail Mary (80.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Mon, 15 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 88.5% | 88.5¢ | 11.5¢ |
| The Black Ball | 80.5% | 80.5¢ | 19.5¢ |
| Project Hail Mary | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| The Invite | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| All of a Sudden | 56.5% | 56.5¢ | 43.5¢ |
| Dune: Part Three | 32.5% | 32.5¢ | 67.5¢ |
| Ink | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| Clarissa | 15.5% | 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ |
| Cry to Heaven | 5.9% | 5.9¢ | 94.1¢ |
| Saturn Return | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Wildwood | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| The Social Reckoning | 3.6% | 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ |
| Toy Story 5 | 3.1% | 3.1¢ | 96.9¢ |
| The Whisper Man | 3.1% | 3.1¢ | 96.9¢ |
| The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | 2.8% | 2.8¢ | 97.2¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $21K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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