October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:27:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2% (15.0%), Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.4% or above (15.0%), Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3% (14.0%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Tue, 10 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.4% or above | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2% | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.1% or below | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.1% or below | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.3% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.4% or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.1% or below | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.1% or below | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.3% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.4% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.4% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.2% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $14K
- Liquidity: $14K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%:
If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items Less Food and Energy. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Headline CPI MoM and Core CPI MoM each use ECONSTAT. For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Sources
Related markets
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
- How high will inflation get this year?
- CPI in October
- Core CPI in October
- CPI YoY in November
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